Scientists behind the first global distribution maps of two species of dengue and chikungunya-carrying mosquitoes warn they are spreading to new areas where they could cause disease. The population of the tiger mosquito, which is known to carry dengue and chikungunya, has rapidly expanded in parts of the US, Southern Europe and China over the past 10-15 years. A new study by scientists at Oxford University reports the growth and identifies areas not yet populated by the insects that are suitable for their survival, for example in Europe. The findings are published in the journal eLife.

"Given the lack of a vaccine or any antiviral treatment for either virus and the debilitating pain they both cause, knowing where the mosquitoes are spreading to and where they might turn up next is crucial for helping to protect communities," says first author Moritz Kraemer. This is especially true in Africa, where records are sparse.

Urban areas worldwide are particularly susceptible to the spread of the yellow fever mosquito, Aedes aegypti, which also carries the viruses and lays its eggs in artificial containers such as buckets and discarded tyres. Concentrations of both mosquitoes are particularly high in Brazil, China, Taiwan and the US, though infection via Ae. Aegypti is not so widespread in the US.

Dengue fever is the world's most common insect-borne virus, causing 100 million annual infections and leaving almost half of the world's population at risk. The invasion of chikungunya into the Americas has already caused over one million cases of disease. The maps are also relevant to yellow fever, though infections from this virus are already on the decline.